The roadmap uses three horizons. Each one delivers value on its own, and each builds the conditions for the next. Dates are indicative.
Horizon 1 · Now to 18 months (to spring 2028)
Prove it, and stop the drift.
- Publish and maintain the evidence. Keep the Body of Knowledge current, complete the sourcing of the evidence-wanted findings, and add seat- and spend-weighted scores.
- Use the renewal windows. Several large decisions fall in this horizon, including the Jisc agreement with Microsoft for universities, which runs to the end of 2026 (Jisc, 2026). Each renewal is a chance to require open formats, customer-held keys and tested exit.
- Identity first. Agree a shared open identity architecture building on GOV.UK One Login, NHS Care Identity Service 2 and the UK Access Management Federation.
- Make the business case. Publish a spend baseline (licences, cloud and platforms by organisation) and a five-case business case for redirecting a fixed share. See the business case.
- Fund open-source hardening. Direct a share of existing licence spend to UK firms and maintainers that harden and support the open components the public sector depends on.
- Set up governance. Establish a small coordinating body for the reference architecture and fund, with seats for sector bodies, the devolved administrations and partners.
- Watch ownership. Use national security and investment powers to review acquisitions of specialist public-sector suppliers, which the evidence shows are changing hands quickly.
- Build the coalition. Agree the reference architecture with EU, Five Eyes and willing partners; align with EuroStack and the EU Digital Identity Wallet.
- Pilot. One or more public bodies and an anchor university run open collaboration and file storage on UK-operated infrastructure.
Horizon 2 · 18 months to four years (2028–2030)
Scale what works.
- UK-operated open cloud. Multiple UK operators offering open, portable infrastructure with customer-held keys, available through standard public-sector frameworks.
- Collaboration and storage at scale. Open document formats and open collaboration platforms across organisations that have proven them.
- Desktop where it fits. Schools and organisations with simple estates move to open desktops, learning from the Gendarmerie, Schleswig-Holstein and the reversals in Munich and Bristol.
- Skills programmes. Schools, universities and the BBC teach on the shared stack; open-source maintainer pathways and apprenticeships are running.
- All four nations. The Body of Knowledge and shared components extend to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.
- A growing UK supply base. Multiple UK operators and integrators delivering each layer through standard frameworks.
- UK-hosted AI. Open-weight models served on UK infrastructure for public-sector use, with shared evaluation.
Horizon 3 · Four to ten years (2030–2036)
Move up the value chain.
- Coalition reference stack. A shared open stack maintained jointly with allies and used across their public sectors.
- Open hardware. RISC-V and other open hardware moving from research into production for suitable workloads.
- Sovereign compute. UK and allied compute capacity for public-sector AI and research, with diverse hardware supply.
- Value and capability. UK firms exporting services built on the shared stack; UK capability and value capture among the strongest dimensions in the Body of Knowledge rather than the weakest.